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疫情影响下的萨省房地产市场FARE BETTER THAN EXPECTED--SRA 5月新闻稿

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发表于 2020-5-7 12:32:55 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
以下全文转自“Saskatchewan Realtors Association”网站
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2020年5月媒体发布
萨斯喀彻温省房地产市场比预期的好:蓄势待发,以助拉动全省经济
2020年5月5日
即时发布

COVID-19已对整个经济领域产生了重大的经济影响。尽管存在这些挑战,但萨斯喀彻温省的房地产市场迄今为止一直相对具有弹性。

虽然第一季度新上市商品和平均价格分别比去年下降了4.4%和0.2%,但第一季度销量却增长了7.0%。然而,直到四月份才开始感受到大流行的真正影响,尽管活动有所减少,但并未像预期的那样严重。


全省新上市房屋数量比去年四月下降了48.1%,而销量下降了45.1%。这与SARS大流行形成鲜明对比,SARS大流行使某些市场的交易量下降了72%,并在某些市场的COVID-19期间完全停止了交易。4月份的平均房价同比下降了3.2%,这与受大流行影响的其他市场的价格温和下降相一致。

先前流行病的证据表明,一旦放松物理隔离措施,交易量就会很快恢复正常。萨斯喀彻温省房地产经纪人协会首席执行官Jason Yochim表示,该省才刚刚开始重新开放经济,我们预计“萨斯喀彻温省的房地产行业可能会因这种停工而出现少量削减。”

房屋销售在经济的多个领域产生了约54,000刀的额外衍生支出。减少对购房过程的限制有可能增加就业,并帮助省经济恢复并抵消其他经济领域的损失。

Yochim说:“购买或出售房屋时创造的就业机会和必要的经济活动的数量非常可观。” “一旦该省再次开放,这种大流行期间未发生的销售将被追回。”

萨斯喀彻温省REALTORS®已采取一切可能的措施来保护有关COVID-19的公共安全,并在早期就意识到该业务无法照常开展。该行业一直在努力开发并为REALTORS®以及买卖双方提供大量的虚拟资源,事实证明,这种虚拟资源在实践与社会保持距离时是无价的。




萨斯卡通

萨斯卡通的销售额下降了43.9%,从2019年4月的380下降到2020年4月的213,并且在整个地区下降了44.9%,从514下降到283.在萨斯卡通,销售额比5年平均水平低34.3%(并且比十年平均水平低40.5%),而在较大的地区,销售额比五年平均水平低35.1%(比十年平均水平低42.9%)。萨斯卡通的年初至今销量(YTD)较去年同期下降了10.8%,从1,048跌至935,而更大地区的年初至今销量也下降了10.9%,从1,422下降至1,267。

该市的销量下降了44.2%,从2020年的1.296亿刀降至7240万刀(比5年平均值低35.6%,比10年平均值低42.9%)。年初至今该市的销量为3.122亿刀,较去年下降9.0%。在该地区,销量下降了44.2%,从1.660亿刀降至9270万刀(比5年平均值低35.4%,比10年平均值低42.7%)。年初至今该地区的销量也下降了9.6%,从2019年的4.437亿刀下降到2020年的4.013亿刀。

2020年4月的新房源数量也比去年下降。萨斯卡通的新房源下降了36.7%,从774降到490(比5年平均值低36.1%,比10年平均值低37.5%),而该地区的情况甚至更糟,新房源下降了43.6%。从去年的1,201到今年的677。萨斯卡通的活跃房源也下降了17.9%(从1,781下降到1,463),而该地区的活跃房源也下降了16.4%(从3,240下降到2,708)。

萨斯卡通的销售与上市比率为43.5%,该地区为41.8%,这表明该地区的市场状况较为平衡。

萨斯卡通的房屋在4月平均在市场上停留了56天,与去年的56天相比没有变化(但仍略高于5年平均值52天和10年平均值44天)。到2020年,该地区的房屋在市场上的停留时间比城市房屋更长,平均为67天,比去年的平均65天略有增加。

萨斯卡通的房价中位数从332,000刀降至320,000刀(下降3.6%),比5年期平均价格低约1.8%,比10年平均中位数价格低2.4%。MLS®房屋价格指数(HPI)(一种更准确地衡量房价趋势的指标)从302,200刀上涨了2.4%,达到305,600刀。该地区的房价中位数也下降了1.2%,从313,750刀降至309,900刀,比5年期均价低2.1%,比10年均价中位数低2.1%。



以下为英文原文:

May 2020 Media Release
SASKATCHEWAN REAL ESTATE MARKETS FARE BETTER THAN EXPECTED: poised to help boost provincial economy
May 5, 2020

For immediate release

COVID-19 has had significant economic impact across all sectors of the economy. Despite those challenges, the Saskatchewan real estate market has been relatively resilient to date.

While Q1 new listings and average prices were down 4.4% and 0.2% respectively over last year, Q1 sales were up 7.0%. The true impact of the pandemic, however, was not going to begin to be felt until April, and although activity was down, it was not down as much as anticipated.

Across the province, new listings were down 48.1% from April of last year while sales were down 45.1%. This contrasts significantly from the SARS pandemic which saw transactions in some markets fall up to 72% and cease completely during COVID-19 in certain markets. Average home prices in April fell 3.2% year-over-year which is consistent with the modest price decline experienced in other markets affected by pandemics.

Evidence from prior pandemics suggest that transaction volumes return to normal quite quickly once physical distancing measures are relaxed. The province is just beginning to re-open the economy and we anticipate that “the real estate industry in Saskatchewan will likely emerge from this shutdown with only a few cuts and scrapes,” said Saskatchewan REALTORS® Association CEO Jason Yochim.

Home sales produce approximately $54,000 in additional spinoff spending across multiple sectors of the economy. Reduced restrictions on the home buying process have the potential to boost employment and help the provincial economy to recover and offset some losses in other areas of the economy.

“The number of employment opportunities and essential economic activities that are created when a home is bought or sold is significant,” said Yochim. “Sales that don’t occur during this pandemic will be recovered once the province has opened up again.”

Saskatchewan REALTORS® have taken every action possible to protect public safety concerning COVID-19 and recognized early on that business could not carry on as usual. The industry has worked hard to develop and provide a significant amount of virtual resources for REALTORS® as well as buyers and sellers which has proved to be invaluable while practicing social distancing.



Saskatoon

Sales in Saskatoon were down 43.9%, going from 380 in April 2019 to 213 in April 2020, and down 44.9% in the overall region, going from 514 to 283. In Saskatoon, sales were 34.3% below the 5-year average (and 40.5% below the 10-year average), while in the larger region, sales were 35.1% below the 5-year average (and 42.9% below the 10-year average). Year-to-Date (YTD) sales in Saskatoon fell 10.8% over last year, dropping from 1,048 to 935, while YTD sales in the larger region also fell 10.9%, going from 1,422 to 1,267.

Sales volume was down 44.2% in the city, going from $129.6M to $72.4M in 2020 (35.6% below the 5-year average, and 42.9% below the 10-year average). YTD sales volume in the city was $312.2M, a decrease of 9.0% from last year. In the region, sales volume was down 44.2%, going from $166.0M to $92.7M (35.4% below the 5-year average and 42.7% below the 10-year average). YTD sales volume also fell 9.6% in the region, going from $443.7M in 2019 to $401.3M in 2020.

The number of new listings in April 2020 fell from the number last year as well. In Saskatoon, new listings fell 36.7%, going from 774 to 490 (36.1% below the 5-year average and 37.5% below the 10-year average), while in the region the situation was even worse, with new listings falling 43.6% from 1,201 last year to 677 this year. Active listings also fell 17.9% in Saskatoon (down from 1,781 to 1,463) and 16.4% in the region (down from 3,240 to 2,708).

The sales to listing ratio was 43.5% in Saskatoon and 41.8% in the region suggesting somewhat balanced market conditions in the area.

Homes in Saskatoon stayed on the market an average of 56 days in April—marking no change from 56 days last year (but still slightly above the 5-year average of 52 days and the 10-year average of 44). Homes in the region stayed on the market somewhat longer than homes in the city at 67 days on average in 2020, up modestly from an average of 65 days last year.

Median home prices in Saskatoon went from $332,000 to $320,000 (a decrease of 3.6%) and were approximately 1.8% below the 5-year and 2.4% below the 10-year average median price. The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI)—a more accurate measure of house price trends—was up 2.4% from $302,200 to $305,600. Median home prices in the region also fell 1.2%, going from $313,750 to $309,900 which is 2.1% below the 5-year and 2.1% below the 10-year average median price.


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